Thursday, October 2, 2014

The Jersey Dudes's
Week 5 Sleepers Studs & Duds are Here!

Boy the weeks go fast. MNF is over and poof Thursday is upon us.

We nailed a good number of picks last week. Let's continue the trend with our SS&Ds for Week 5.

Good luck!

- Seedog & doot

doot

Sleepers:

QB Glennon: He's uber cheap and a decent play if you want to punt QB or a good second pick in a two QB league. Plus, you can match him up with L. Murphy or V. Jackson for a tasty tandem in DDPs.
Backup Plan: K. Orton (in for Manuel)

RB R. Jennings: Is a sleeper a sleeper if everyone knows he's a sleeper? Probably not, but  probable Top 5 scoring at the position at a mid-tier price makes him a sleeper IMHO. I predict he'll probably be in 20% (give or take 5%) in GPP leagues, but he is a solid option in 50/50s. 
I'm also going to throw in L. McCoy. Yes he's expensive, and yes with a swiss cheese O-line in Phi he has severely underperformed, but he's a cocky SOB (in a good way) so I'm guessing he's not taking this lack of success lightly; he will likely be playing with a Chip on his shoulder, and I'm thinking he'll be under-owned in DPPs.
Backup Plan: D. Reaves, B. Sankey

WR  A. Hawkins: Who? Yeah, that's what I thought until I looked at the numbers. He is #1 in targets with a Browns team playing a very mediocre Tenn. team. He is very cheap and a solid play in GPPs. 
Backup Plan: B. Quick, A. Hurns, Malc. Floyd, L. Murphy

TE C. Harbor: You may not know who he is, but Bortles does. Last week he was 8/8 in Targets/Receptions last week for 69 yards. A Tight End can be a rookie QB's best friend, so if you're not going with Graham, throw this kid a bone, and you might have a friend for life (or at least this season, or this week..)
Backup Plan: H. Miller

DEF Green Bay: Let me give you something to Ponder...he's gonna need a bigger boat at Lambeau tonight, as heavy rains are expected. I predict GB to stuff the box and force Ponder to throw, which could lead to defensive points for a very cheap GB.
Backup Plan: Car., Clev.

 Studs:

QB D. Brees: He's dat. Brees at home is scary, add to it TB's 28th ranking in yards allowed per game in the air, and you're onto a sure thing big thing.
Backup Plan: A. Luck, P. Rivers

RB L. Bell: Again, it's all about the matchups. Jacksonville is ranked 25th in yards given up on runs. Add to it the fact that Pitt is favored by 7 (even away), and Pitt. will be likely playing ahead and may run the ball heavily to run down the clock, even better for Bell.
Backup Plan: D. Murray

WR A. Jeffrey: Marshall is still a bit gimpy, and Carolina's defense arent as good as last year. This could be a sneaky stud pick, considering all the other stud options at WR this week.
Backup Plan: A. Brown, J. Jones, J. Nelson, K. Allen

TE J. Graham: He's an elite receiver with a TE tag with an elite QB throwing to him in a home dome. He's expensive, but damn near always worth the price. 
Backup Plan: J. Thomas

Duds:

QB K. Cousins: Even though he's playing at home, he is still playing Seattle, and I think they'll keep him and Washington in check.

RB D. Brown: He burned a lot of people last week (including us, grumble grumble), and he plays the league's best Defense against the run. Stay away, far far away...

WR B. Marshall, C. Johnson: They're both nursing injuries, and considering their cost, they're just too risky for me to consider. But, yes there's a but, if you check on Sunday morning and know they're definitely active, they could be a very high risk, costly, high reward pick in DPPs. Even with that slight chance, I'm not buying.

TE N. Paul: This is a bit of a reach, as I think most decent TEs will have decent games, so I'm going with him as a bust for the week. Add to it that J. Reed is back in practice, they may start to share time.

DEF New England: Ahhh, it's fun to poop on the Patriots.
  

Seedog

Sleepers:

Wilson is a sneaky play I like this week vs. the Skins, he should give you some points and have a solid game this week.

Eli should be a nice play in a game that may have a lot of points, and a lot of passing, I like him this week.

Khiry Robinson is my sleeper RB of the week, since they are playing RB roulette in New Orleans, I think this week is his turn.

Zac Stacy has been quiet, I think he has a big day against the Eagles this week.

VJax should put up some solid garbage time numbers this week, nice play this week.

Quick is a nice start this week, like him as my sleeper WR this week, I project a solid day from him.

Heath Miller is back, has put together a few good weeks, and I see him keeping it going this week vs. the Jags.


Studs:

Payton-Drew-Arod: All are a must start.  Clear cut top 3, you can put them in any order, all a solid play this week.

Andrew Luck: He is knocking on the door, he is making the stud cut just about every week, start him with no worries vs. the Ravens.

Gio: My top play of the day, the Pats are in trouble, Gio has a big day.

Rashad Jennings: Big day for him, ATL can’t stop anyone, big day for him and the Gmen.

A Brown/Edelman are PPR Gold, must starts in a PPR format unless they are banged up. These 2 are on a roll, it isn’t stopping this week.

J Jones is going to be big this week, lots of points in this game.  Start him with confidence.

Graham/Gronk: They play, they are in your lineup, must starts that play like a top WR.

Bennett will have another solid day for the Bears.  With the Bears WR’s banged up, it means another big day for him.

Duds:

Romo might take a step back this week, he will play ok this week, just see a lot of rushing in this game against HOU.

Foles may have another tuff start this week, STL defense will give him some trouble, I personally will stay away from him this week.

Sproles, off day for Foles will mean an off day for Sproles, sorry PHI, stay in away from the Eagles this week.

Spiller/FJax will have a long day vs. the Lions front, not a fan of either Bills RB this week.

DJax will have a quiet day, Seattle’s D will keep the Skins off the score board.

Crabtree is interesting, I just don’t like him this week, I see the Chiefs giving him trouble.

Ertz is in for a long day also, see a theme, stay away from the Eagles this week.



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